Archive for July 19th, 2009

CIT Close To New Funding

Sunday, July 19th, 2009

NEW YORK: The fate of cash-strapped lender CIT Group was still unclear Sunday evening, though the Wall Street Journal reported that it was close to securing a deal with key bondholders for 3 billion in funding. The lender to small and midsize businesses has been scrambling to raise money during the past week after the government declined to provide additional assistance. The government had provided 2.3 billion to CIT last December. Without a quick fix, a bankruptcy filing is expected. CIT did not return a call seeking comment. CIT (CIT, Fortune 500) shares have lost more than 80% since the beginning of June, and closed Friday at 70 cents. The century-old firm has been struggling with souring loans on its books and credit downgrades.It is unclear what impact a bankruptcy failure would have. CIT, with around 65 billion of managed loans, is just a fraction of the size of the financial titans that toppled last year, ranging from Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual to AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) and Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500). And it has sharply cut back its lending over the past year. Still, CIT’s failure would add to the pressure on small businesses at a time when they have been shedding hundreds of thousands of jobs every month. Plus, CIT isn’t just known for its startup loans. It also provides loans and lines of credit to existing small businesses. And CIT has also been a major player in factor financing. This inolves buying invoices from manufactures and retailers, immediately paying them a portion of the invoices’ face value and assuming the task — and the risk — of collecting payments from customers. For small businesses, factoring offers fast access to operating cash.Additional risksAs recently as last Tuesday, many on Wall Street had been betting on another bailout. But on Wednesday, those negotiations fell apart. In part, that’s because CIT has always focused on less creditworthy borrowers. Loan charge-offs — representing loans written off as uncollectible — tripled from a year ago and are likely to keep climbing. “We expect non-accrual loans and charge-off levels to remain at elevated levels through the remainder of 2009,” the company said in its first-quarter report filed with regulators. Under CEO Jeffrey Peek, who took over in 2003 after stints at Merrill Lynch and Credit Suisse, CIT expanded b eyond its traditional asset-backed lending business into hot areas such as home lending. The company pulled out of that business in 2007, but has been hit by rising loan nonpayments in its corporate finance segment, which includes small business lending. CIT has long borrowed in the credit markets to fund its lending activities, but since the credit markets froze in 2007 the firm has had to pull back on its own lending. CIT was historically the biggest issuer of Small Business Administration-backed loans, topping the agency’s lender list year after year. Last year, it made 1,195 loans through the SBA’s 7(a) program, totaling 766.6 million. But since October, CIT (CIT, Fortune 500) has funded fewer than 100 SBA loans, totaling 65.7 million.Ripple effectCraig Moore is president of CiCi Enterprises, a pizza franchisor based in Coppell, Texas. CIT Group was CiCi’s go-to lender for financing new franchises.”We had used them quite a bit in the past years because they made the process easy to get through. But at the end of last year, they tightened so quick they almost stopped lending to us overnight,” Moore says.Moore had 300 franchise candidates in the pipeline. Very suddenly, half of them couldn’t get loans and became non-viable, including 16 that had been working with CIT. Moore says some are still hanging on, hoping the credit markets loosen up, while other potential owners are tapping family and friends for startup money.”We had a goal of building 80 stores this year and we may end up with 40. That drop is due to the financing issues,” says Moore. “On a bigger scale, that’s 40 stores which each could have hired 35 employees.”Robert Saquet, president of Eggers Furniture, a retail store in Middleboro, Mass., is wondering how his shop will be affected if CIT disappears from the factoring market.”Many manufacturers would not be able to stay in business without a factor creating immediate cash flow,” Saquet says. Three of his largest suppliers use CIT as a factor. “Without a source of cash, they would have to demand pre-payment from retail stores. Retail stores are struggling and are not able to get the credit to raise more cash, so they would have to stop buying from factories that are not able to extend terms.”

Source:CNN

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Paying For Health Care Wealth Tax Is legitimate

Sunday, July 19th, 2009

WASHINGTON (CNN) — More work is needed on proposed health care reform legislation to ensure that whatever bill eventually gets passed by Congress is budget neutral, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said Sunday.Appearing on the NBC program “Meet the Press,” Sebelius said an additional tax on wealthy Americans is “a legitimate way to go forward.”She noted the tax surcharge provision in a House proposal was one of several options under discussion to help pay for overhauling the nation’s ailing health system.A final bill “will be paid for — it will not add to the deficit,” Sebelius said of health care reform, which is currently President Barack Obama’s top domestic priority.Obama seeks an overhaul to ensure that health insurance is available to the 46 million Americans currently uninsured while preventing costs to both the government and individuals from continuing to climb.The House and Senate are working on Democratic proposals that would create a government-funded public health insurance option intended to drive down costs of private coverage.However, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office reported last week that the measures currently under consideration in both chambers would fail to pay for themselves, increasing the budget deficit.Republican opponents seized on the CBO report as ammunition against Obama’s push to have a bill from each chamber approved by the time Congress begins recess on Aug. 7.Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, also appearing on “Meet the Press,” said the government is over-reaching by seeking to reform the whole system.He called for expanding the tax deduction on health care costs for employers to include individual taxpayers — what the Republicans call equalized tax treatment — and limiting medical malpractice lawsuits that he said drive up the cost of medical care.”I’m not in favor of doing nothing,” McConnell said. “It’s important to reduce the number of uninsured. The question is how to do that.”However, White House Budget Director Peter Orszag said the real purpose of Republican criticism is to slow momentum in hopes of eventually killing health care reform.”The typical Washington bureaucratic game of ‘if you don’t have a better alternative, just delay in the hope that that kills something’ is partly what is playing out here,” Orszag said on the CNN program “State of the Union.”Democrats pushing the health care bills argue the CBO analysis does not take into account the financial impact of cost-cutting measures under discussion, nor how stronger preventive care programs will reduce demand and costs.Sebelius noted that all proposals include various provisions to decrease fraud and improve efficiency of the current system.”In all the plans, more than half the money to pay for the proposal is already in the system,” Sebelius said, referring to what she called “misdirected” money for ineffective programs and other instances of waste and inefficiency.0:00
/2:36Questioning Canadian health careOrszag also called for creating an independent commission of doctors that would set reimbursement levels and other health care policy issues under congressional oversight, calling it “the single most important thing that’s missing from the legislation at this point.”However, Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, told the CBS program “Face the Nation” that such a panel would end up limiting care available to people, like in the government-run system of England. He said he would propose a plan next week modeled on the 1997 Children’s Health Insurance Program he sponsored with Democratic Sen. Ten Kennedy of Massachusetts to provide states with money to set up programs based on need.Both the House and Senate proposals so far include mechanisms to raise revenue through increased or new taxes.The Senate Finance Committee wants to create a new tax on medical benefits provided by employers, a plan that Obama opposes.Sebelius said the new tax could cause employers who provide coverage for 180 million Americans to change or drop their programs, which could “dismantle the private market.”"He’s reluctant to move in that direction,” she said of the president.Obama continues to favor reducing the limit on income tax exemptions for high-income Americans, Sebelius said.Both Sebelius and Orszag emphasized that the progress was occurring in Congress, and that Obama’s goal of legislation coming from both chambers by Aug. 7 remained possible.”This hasn’t happened in 50 years for a reason — it’s complicated,” Orszag said. “(The) legislative process is working. I think people are sort of reaching judgment about who’s going to win the marathon based on who’s ahead at, like, mile 19.”

Source:CNN

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A Look At The Week Ahead For Stocks

Sunday, July 19th, 2009
A Look At The Week Ahead For Stocks - Jul 19 2009

NEW YORK: So far so good.The first week of major quarterly financial results has come and gone, leaving investors more confident about the economic outlook — and stocks 7% higher. But the S&P 500’s first up week in five has merely left stocks right back where they were a month ago. That’s about 40% higher than the low point of 2009. “Investors are dipping their toes in the water, but not diving in 100%,” said Dave Hinnenkamp, CEO at KDV Wealth Management. “Earnings so far have brought some upside surprises, but we’ll need to see that continue, supported by the economic news.”The week ahead brings a smattering of economic news, including reports on housing and the jobs market. But the main focus is the quarterly results. This week, 145 of the S&P 500 companies will report results, or 23% of the broad index. American Express (AXP, Fortune 500), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500), Coca-Cola (KO, Fortune 500) and Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) are among the 12 Dow components that are due to release results. Influential tech leaders Yahoo (YHOO, Fortune 500) and Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) are also on the docket.Investors will also keep an eye on troubled small business lender CIT Group (CIT, Fortune 500), which is fighting to stave off bankruptcy. The company, which reports results on Thursday, is reportedly in talks with JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) and Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) about getting a loan. Second quarter underwayIntel (INTC, Fortune 500), IBM (IBM, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) and Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) all reported better-than-expected results or issued improved forecasts last week.Those reports helped draw investors back into the market. Better-than-expected readings on retail sales and housing — and an improved economic outlook from the Federal Reserve — helped as well. But beyond financial and technology, enough other companies either missed expectations or lowered estimates so as to keep the overall outlook for earnings little changed.S&P 500 companies are expected to see profits fall 35.2% versus a year ago, according to Thomson Reuters. Last week, the forecast was for a drop of 32.7%.”Relative to expectations, it’s been a good start,” said John Butters, senior research analyst at Thomson Reuters. “Companies are beating estimates and doing it by a wide margin, with the caveat that we have only seen 10% of the reports.”Reported results are beating estimates by an average of 11.2%, versus the long-term historic average of 1.7%, Butters said. But on the downside, only 55 of the 500 companies have reported results so far.”Now we’re going to really get into the heart of the earnings season and it will be important to see if this trend can hold up,” he said. With stocks once again gripping the top of a 40% rally off the lows, the trend better hold up.ResultsMonday: Texas Instruments (TXN, Fortune 500) reports results after the close. The chipmaker is expected to have earned 18 cents per share versus 44 cents a year ago, according to a consensus of analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters.Tuesday: Five Dow components report results in the morning, including Coca-Cola, which is expected to have earned 89 cents per share versus 1.01 a year earlier.Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) is thought to have earned 22 cents per share versus 1.74 a year ago. Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) is expected to have earned 77 cents versus 86 cents a year ago. United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500) likely earned 1.04 versus 1.38 a year ago. DuPont (DD, Fortune 500) likely earned 53 cents versus 1.11 a year ago. After the close, Apple is expected to report a profit of 1.16 per share versus 1.19 a year ago. Fellow tech leader Yahoo is expected to have earned 8 cents per share versus 10 cents a year ago.Wednesday: Dow component Boeing (BA, Fortune 500), due in the morning, is expected to have earned 1.21 per share versus 1.16 a year ago.Delta Air Lines (DAL, Fortune 500) is expected to report a loss of 27 cents per share versus a profit of 35 cents a year ago.Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500), Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) and eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500) are all also due to report.Thursday: Three Dow components are due to report before the start of trading.3M (MMM, Fortune 500) is expected to have earned 94 cents per share versus 1.39 a year ago. McDonald’s (MCD, Fortune 500) is expected to have earned 96 cents versus 94 cents a year ago. AT&T (T, Fortune 500) is thought to have earned 51 cents versus 76 cents a year ago.After the close, Dow component American Express is expected to have reported a profit of 28 cents per share versus 56 cents a year ago.Dow component Microsoft is expected to report a profit of 36 cents per share versus 46 cents a year ago.Amazon.com (AMZN, Fortune 500) reports results after the close.Friday: No market-moving financial results are due Friday.EconomyMonday: The index of leading economic indicators (LEI) is expected to have risen 0.5% in June, according to a Briefing.com survey of economists. LEI rose 1.2% in the previous month. The Conference Board report is due shortly after the start of trading.Tuesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gives his semi-annual testimony on monetary policy to Congress this week, speaking before the House Financial Services Committee Tuesday and the Senate Wednesday.Wednesday: The weekly crude oil inventories report from the Energy Information Administration is due shortly after the start of trading.Thursday: June existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors is due after the start of trading. Sales are expected to have risen to a 4.80 million unit annual rate in June from a 4.77 million unit rate in May.Also, the Labor Department releases the weekly jobless claims report before the start of trading.Friday: The University of Michigan releases its revised July consumer sentiment reading. Sentiment is expected to hold steady at 64.6.

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